PM 2.5 Prediction Using the Long Short-Term Memory Algorithm

Authors

  • Syaid El Hasyim Universitas Islam Negeri Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau, Indonesia
  • Nurazizah Nurazizah Universitas Islam Negeri Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau, Indonesia
  • Muhammad Yudha Pratama Universitas Islam Negeri Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau, Indonesia
  • Umairah Rizkya Gurning Universitas Islam Negeri Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau, Indonesia
  • Batrisia Khairunnisa Halic of University, Turkiy

Keywords:

Air Pollution, Long Short-Term Memory, Mean Absolute Percentage Error, PM 2.5

Abstract

Air pollution poses a serious threat to human health and the environment, with far-reaching impacts on various aspects of life. Among its most harmful components is particulate matter less than 2.5 micrometers in diameter (PM2.5), which contributes significantly to degraded air quality. Accurate prediction of PM2.5 concentrations is crucial for public health protection and policy-making. This study employs the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) algorithm, a deep learning method well-suited for modeling large, complex, and time-dependent datasets, to forecast PM2.5 levels in Delhi, India. The dataset comprises daily records from January 1, 2015, to July 1, 2020. The proposed model achieved a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 25.22%, indicating moderate predictive accuracy. These results demonstrate that the LSTM algorithm can serve as an effective tool for forecasting PM2.5 concentrations, providing valuable insights for air quality management and environmental planning.

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Published

2025-09-04