Penerapan Machine Learning untuk Prediksi Kenaikan Harga Beras Premium Menggunakan Algoritma Regresi Linier: Application of Machine Learning for Premium Rice Price Increase Prediction Using Linear Regression Algorithm

Arif Tri Widiyatmoko; Sufajar Butsianto; Agung Nugroho

doi:10.57152/malcom.v5i3.2123

Authors

Arif Tri Widiyatmoko Universitas Pelita Bangsa
Sufajar Butsianto Universitas Pelita Bangsa
Agung Nugroho Universitas Pelita Bangsa

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.57152/malcom.v5i3.2123

Keywords:

Mean Absolute Error, Prediksi Harga Beras, Regresi Linier, Streamlit

Abstract

Ketidakstabilan harga beras premium sebagai komoditas pangan pokok memerlukan solusi prediksi yang akurat untuk membantu perencanaan ekonomi. Penelitian ini menerapkan algoritma Machine Learning, yaitu Regresi Linier, untuk memprediksi kenaikan harga beras premium. Model dilatih menggunakan data historis harga dan dievaluasi kinerjanya dengan metrik MAE (0.244), MSE (0.092), dan R-squared (0.893), menunjukkan tingkat akurasi yang cukup baik dalam memprediksi harga. Selanjutnya, model yang berhasil dikembangkan diimplementasikan ke dalam aplikasi web interaktif berbasis Streamlit. Aplikasi ini memungkinkan pengguna untuk memasukkan tanggal dan secara langsung mendapatkan prediksi harga beras premium. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa Regresi Linier efektif dalam memprediksi harga beras premium, dan implementasi ke dalam aplikasi Streamlit berhasil menyediakan alat prediksi yang mudah diakses. Meskipun demikian, penelitian lanjutan dapat berfokus pada peningkatan akurasi model dan eksplorasi algoritma Machine Learning lainnya untuk prediksi harga komoditas

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