Comparison of Airdrop Coin Prices in Cryptocurrency Using LSTM:  A Case Study of Grass, Not Pixel, and Dogs Coins

Muhamad Ardi Al Fatih; Paradise Paradise; Nicolaus Euclides Wahyu Nugroho

doi:10.57152/malcom.v6i3.2748

Authors

Muhamad Ardi Al Fatih Telkom University Purwokerto
Paradise Paradise Telkom University Purwokerto
Nicolaus Euclides Wahyu Nugroho Telkom University Purwokerto

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.57152/malcom.v6i3.2748

Keywords:

Airdrop, Cryptocurrency, Decision Support System (DSS), Long Short Term Memory (LSTM), Price Prediction

Abstract

The distribution of airdrops across the cryptocurrency ecosystem often leads to extreme price volatility, complicating data-driven strategic decision-making for investors. This study aims to implement a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) architecture to predict airdrop coin prices and integrate the results into an interactive dashboard-based Decision Support System (DSS). The research methodology employs a Recursive Multi-step Forecasting strategy to model nonlinear time-series data across three case studies: GRASS, NOT PIXEL, and DOGS, covering the period from August 2024 to March 2026. Data were obtained via the CoinGecko API v3 and evaluated using MSE, MAE, RMSE, and MAPE metrics. The experimental results demonstrate that the LSTM model achieved high accuracy with MAPE values of 10.75% for GRASS, 6.29% for NOT PIXEL, and 6.73% for DOGS, with NOT PIXEL recording the best overall performance. The primary contribution of this research is the transformation of numerical projections into automated decision signals (Strong Buy, Hold, Caution, and Strong Sell) integrated into the DSS. In conclusion, this system serves as an effective tool for mitigating investment risk, providing strategic guidance to airdrop cryptocurrency users amid dynamic market fluctuations.

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